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Title [en]
Semi-Presidential Shifts in the Shadow of Russia: Executive Power and Party Behavior in Armenia, Georgia, and Ukraine
Abstract [en]
Constitutional stability among post-Soviet countries is challenged by recurring institutional conflict, autocratic presidents, weak party systems, frequent changes to the constitution, and external aggression from Russia. Semi-presidentialism, where a directly elected president shares executive power with a prime minister, is currently the model in 20 countries in Eastern Europe. Several post-Soviet countries have recently shifted from a president-parliamentary to a premier-presidential form of semi-presidentialism, however, where weaker presidential powers are combined with a government anchored in parliament. The overall purpose of this project is to understand why and under what conditions post-Soviet countries have reduced presidential powers, and what implications these constitutional shifts have had on party organization and behavior. The project combines statistical analyses across the post-Soviet semi-presidential countries with a focused comparison of Armenia, Georgia, and Ukraine – three countries that, against the Kremlin's preferences, represent constitutional change away from a president-dominated system. We draw on a combination of expert interviews on the one hand, and on a palette of country-specific data and written material on the other. The project contributes to new empirical data and theoretical understanding of the interplay between constitutional change and party politics in a context of fragile democratization and Russia’s external pressure.
Publications (1 of 1) Show all publications
Sedelius, T., Mashtaler, O. & Raunio, T. (2024). Semi-presidentialism and war: Executive leadership models in Ukraine during Zelenskyi’s presidency. East European Politics
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Semi-presidentialism and war: Executive leadership models in Ukraine during Zelenskyi’s presidency
2024 (English)In: East European Politics, ISSN 2159-9165, E-ISSN 2159-9173Article in journal (Refereed) Epub ahead of print
Abstract [en]

Following Russia's invasion, Ukraine exemplifies presidential leadership during full-scale war. This study examines executive coordination from Zelenskyi's mid-2019 election to the February 2022–July 2023 war period, using media sources and official data. It introduces three new leadership models – figurehead-leader, arbiter-management and leader-implementer – to capture evolving intra-executive relations in semi-presidential systems. Power centralisation around the president has accelerated, fitting the leader-implementer model. However, in accordance with the arbiter-manager model, a stricter division of labour, especially in domestic policy, is evident. Despite semi-presidentialism's perceived conflict-proneness, the study shows it can function efficiently and allow executive flexibility during significant crisis.

Keywords
Executive, leadership, semi-presidentialism, Ukraine, war, Zelenskyi
National Category
Political Science
Research subject
Forskargrupp/Seminariegrupp, Transition, identitet och civilsamhälle (TICS)
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:du-48926 (URN)10.1080/21599165.2024.2369978 (DOI)001260178100001 ()
Funder
The Foundation for Baltic and East European Studies, 22-PR2-0011
Available from: 2024-07-02 Created: 2024-07-02 Last updated: 2024-07-25Bibliographically approved
Principal InvestigatorSedelius, Thomas
Co-InvestigatorDuvold, Kjetil
Co-InvestigatorÅberg, Jenny
Coordinating organisation
Södertörn University
Funder
Period
2023-01-01 - 2025-12-31
Keywords [sv]
Östersjö- och Östeuropaforskning
Keywords [en]
Baltic and East European studies
Identifiers
DiVA, id: project:2786Project, id: 22-PR2-0011_OS

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