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Do crude oil price changes affect economic growth of India, Pakistan and Bangladesh?: A multivariate time series analysis
Högskolan Dalarna, Akademin Industri och samhälle, Nationalekonomi.
2012 (engelsk)Independent thesis Advanced level (degree of Master (One Year)), 20 poäng / 30 hpOppgave
Abstract [en]

This paper analyzes empirically the effect of crude oil price change on the economic growth of Indian-Subcontinent (India, Pakistan and Bangladesh). We use a multivariate Vector Autoregressive analysis followed by Wald Granger causality test and Impulse Response Function (IRF). Wald Granger causality test results show that only India’s economic growth is significantly affected when crude oil price decreases. Impact of crude oil price increase is insignificantly negative for all three countries during first year. In second year, impact is negative but smaller than first year for India, negative but larger for Bangladesh and positive for Pakistan.

sted, utgiver, år, opplag, sider
2012. , s. 40
Emneord [en]
Oil price shocks, Economic growth, Vector Autoregressive, Impulse response function, Wald Granger causality test
HSV kategori
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:du-10723OAI: oai:DiVA.org:du-10723DiVA, id: diva2:551295
Uppsök
Social and Behavioural Science, Law
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Tilgjengelig fra: 2012-09-14 Laget: 2012-09-10 Sist oppdatert: 2012-09-14bibliografisk kontrollert

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