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Machine learning for building energy system analysis
Dalarna University, School of Information and Engineering, Microdata Analysis.
2022 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Description
Abstract [en]

Buildings account for approximately 40% of the global energy, and Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning (HVAC) contributes to a large proportion of building energy consumption. Two main negative characteristics that contribute to performance degradation and energy waste in an HVAC system are inappropriate control strategies and faults. These two negative characteristics are the focus areas of this thesis. As a type of HVAC system, district heating (DH) plays an important role in sustainable thermal energy production and dominates the heat market in Sweden. However, analysis of district heating has not been well studied in the literature, therefore, district heating substations are selected as the target systems for analysis in this thesis, where night setback control setting, and abrupt fault/anomaly detection are the two problem domains analyzed. One of the main reasons for these problems is the lack of effective methods for detecting such negative characteristics. The knowledge gaps found in these two problem domains are that studies focusing on night setback identification are not found in the literature, and while deep learning (DL) methods show great potential in terms of fault detection and diagnosis (FDD), they are not systematically evaluated, and the application of deep learning methods for HVAC fault detection and diagnosis is scarce. Therefore, this thesis aims at addressing these research gaps. Different machine learning (ML) methods are investigated for night setback identification in the first study using a relatively small dataset. The main contributions of this thesis to microdata analysis are that it proposes a new perspective of sequential data analysis by converting the original time series data into corresponding images. Thus the original research problem is shifted from time series analysis to image analysis, which enables the use of transfer learning to improve model performance. In addition, the proposed approach can be customized and generalized to analyze other building energy systems as well as solving other research problems in the energy domain. The second part of the thesis contributes to the understanding of how data is analysed by performing a meta-analysis. It not only analyses the effectiveness of deep learning methods for performing HVAC FDD quantitively, but also investigates outlier studies and publication bias. These analysis results give future researchers in this field an unbiased perspective and help them avoid overestimating effectiveness, either due to outlier studies or publication bias. The result shows that bidirectional long short-term memory (BDLSTM) with attention mechanism outperforms other benchmarking methods included in this study. However, the labeling process used in this study is difficult, since by inspecting the original time series data, the dataset is balanced, whereas in real life, there are much fewer substations with night setback settings enabled. Most importantly, this approach is difficult to generalize to a large number of substations. To address these drawbacks, the second study reformulated the research problem from time series to image analysis by converting the original time series data into corresponding heat map images. Then, a transfer learning approach is proposed to classify these images. Results show that MobilenetV2 outperforms other benchmark models in terms of f1 score, while Squeezenets are relatively lighted weighted in terms of training time and model sizes and works well This approach provides a feasible solution that can be used for a relatively large, real-world, and imbalanced dataset with overall high accuracy. It is also concluded that night setback patterns are more easily observed from heatmap images, compared to the original time series. Therefore, the proposed approach reduces the complexity of data labeling, and, even if the model fails, it is flexible and easy to switch to manual judgment. In terms of fault detection and diagnosis, the third study reviews and analyzes deep learning methods for HVAC fault detection and diagnosis in a systematic way. It is concluded that long short-term memory (LSTM) and 1D convolutional neural network (CNN) are effective methods for HVAC FDD by design without extra data transformation, while 2D CNNs gain their popularity in recent years due to the increased diversity of collected data. Meta-analysis results show that deep learning methods are effective for HVAC fault detection and diagnosis. However, publication bias exists, which suggests small studies without significant results are not published, hence, the effectiveness of the included studies can be overestimated. Based on the conclusion from the systematic review, an LSTM-based model is proposed for abrupt faults/anomaly detection. Results show that performance varies based on the threshold values. A lower threshold value results in a better recall, while a higher threshold value results in better precision, and there is a trade-off between recall and precision. Therefore, the choice of the threshold depends on the cost of investigating false alarms versus that of missed out faults.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Borlänge: Dalarna University, 2022.
Series
Dalarna Doctoral Dissertations ; 22
Keywords [en]
district heating, machine learning, deep learning, HVAC, neural networks
National Category
Computer Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:du-42714ISBN: 978-91-88679-38-3 (print)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:du-42714DiVA, id: diva2:1696835
Public defence
2022-11-25, room 322, Borlänge, 13:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2022-10-24 Created: 2022-09-19 Last updated: 2023-03-17Bibliographically approved
List of papers
1. Night setback identification of district heat substations using bidirectional long short term memory with attention mechanism
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Night setback identification of district heat substations using bidirectional long short term memory with attention mechanism
2021 (English)In: Energy, ISSN 0360-5442, Vol. 224, article id 120163Article in journal (Refereed) Published
National Category
Energy Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:du-36722 (URN)10.1016/j.energy.2021.120163 (DOI)000640928400006 ()2-s2.0-85101809583 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2021-04-28 Created: 2021-04-28 Last updated: 2023-04-14Bibliographically approved
2. From time series to image analysis: A transfer learning approach for night setback identification of district heating substations
Open this publication in new window or tab >>From time series to image analysis: A transfer learning approach for night setback identification of district heating substations
2021 (English)In: Journal of Building Engineering, E-ISSN 2352-7102, Vol. 43, article id 102537Article in journal (Refereed) Published
National Category
Energy Systems
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:du-37271 (URN)10.1016/j.jobe.2021.102537 (DOI)000697043900001 ()2-s2.0-85105692294 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2021-06-03 Created: 2021-06-03 Last updated: 2023-04-14Bibliographically approved
3. Deep learning in fault detection and diagnosis of building HVAC systems: A systematic review with meta analysis
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Deep learning in fault detection and diagnosis of building HVAC systems: A systematic review with meta analysis
2023 (English)In: Energy and AI, ISSN 2666-5468, Vol. 12, article id 100235Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Building sector account for significant global energy consumption and Heating Ventilation and Air Conditioning (HVAC) systems contribute to the highest portion of building energy consumption. Therefore, the potential for energy saving by improving the efficiency of HVAC systems is huge and various fault detection and diagnosis (FDD) methods have been studied for this purpose. Although among all types of existing FDD methods, data-driven based ones are regarded as the most effective methods. As a relatively new branch of data-driven approaches, deep learning (DL) methods have shown promising results, a comprehensive review of DL applications in this area is absent. To fill the research gap, this systematic review with meta analysis analyses the relevant studies both quantitatively and qualitatively. The review is conducted by searching Web of Science, ScienceDirect, and Semantic search. There are 47 eligible studies included in this review following the preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses (PRISMA) protocol. 6 out of the 47 studies are identified as eligible for meta analysis of the effectiveness of DL methods for FDD. The most used DL method is 2D convolutional neural network (CNN) and one of the most critical faults is condenser fouling. Results suggest that DL methods show promising results as a HVAC FDD. However, most studies use simulation/lab experiment data and real-world complexities are not fully investigated. Therefore, DL methods need to be further tested with real-world scenarios to support decision-making.

Keywords
HVAC, Deep learning, Systematic review, Meta analysis, Fault detection and diagnosis
National Category
Computer Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:du-42717 (URN)10.1016/j.egyai.2023.100235 (DOI)001087511000001 ()2-s2.0-85147250826 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2022-09-19 Created: 2022-09-19 Last updated: 2023-11-10Bibliographically approved
4. Anomaly Detection of Heat Energy Usage in District Heating Substations Using LSTM based Variational Autoencoder Combined with Physical Model
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Anomaly Detection of Heat Energy Usage in District Heating Substations Using LSTM based Variational Autoencoder Combined with Physical Model
2020 (English)In: 2020 15th IEEE Conference on Industrial Electronics and Applications (ICIEA), 2020, p. 153-158Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

District heating systems that distribute heat through pipelines to residential and commercial buildings have been widely used in Northern Europe. The energy efficiency of district heating systems is of great interest to energy stakeholders. However, it is not uncommon that district heating systems fail to achieve the expected performance due to various faults. Identification of such rare observations that are different significantly from the majority of the meter readings data plays a vital role in system diagnose. In this study, a new hybrid approach is proposed for anomaly detection of a district heating substation, which consists of a simplified physical model and a Long Short Term Memory based Variational Autoencoder (LSTM VAE). A dataset of an anonymous substation in Sweden is used as a case study. The performance of two state of art models, LSTM and long short term memory based autoencoder (LSTM AE) are evaluated and compared with the LSTM VAE. Experimental results show that LSTM VAE outperforms the baseline models in terms of Area under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) and F1 score when an optimal threshold is applied.

Keywords
Heating systems, Substations, Pipelines, Receivers, Meter reading, Stakeholders, Anomaly detection, Energy system, neural networks, computational intelligence, machine learning
National Category
Electrical Engineering, Electronic Engineering, Information Engineering
Research subject
Research Profiles 2009-2020, Complex Systems – Microdata Analysis
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:du-35622 (URN)10.1109/ICIEA48937.2020.9248108 (DOI)000646627000027 ()2-s2.0-85097520827 (Scopus ID)978-1-7281-5169-4 (ISBN)
Conference
2020 15th IEEE Conference on Industrial Electronics and Applications (ICIEA), Kristiansand, Norway, 9-13 November 2020.
Available from: 2020-12-10 Created: 2020-12-10 Last updated: 2022-09-19Bibliographically approved

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