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Generating Hourly Electricity Demand Data for Large-Scale Single-Family Buildings by a Decomposition–Recombination Method
Dalarna University, School of Information and Engineering, Microdata Analysis.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-4212-8582
Dalarna University, School of Information and Engineering, Energy Technology.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-2369-0169
2023 (English)In: Future Urban Energy System for Buildings: The Pathway Towards Flexibility, Resilience and Optimization / [ed] Zhang, Xingxing, Huang, Pei, Sun, Yongjun, Singapore: Springer Nature, 2023, Vol. Part F2770, p. 331-354Chapter in book (Other academic)
Sustainable development
SDG 12: Responsible consumption and production
Abstract [en]

Household electricity demand has substantial impacts on local grid operation, energy storage, and the energy performance of buildings. Hourly demand data at district or urban level helps stakeholders understand the demand patterns from a granular time scale and provides robust evidence in energy management. However, such type of data is often expensive and time-consuming to collect, process, and integrate. Decisions built upon smart meter data have to deal with challenges of privacy and security in the whole process. Incomplete data due to confidentiality concerns or system failure can further increase the difficulty of modeling and optimization. In addition, methods using historical data to make predictions can largely vary depending on data quality, local building environment, and dynamic factors. Considering these challenges, this chapter proposes a statistical method to generate hourly electricity demand data for large-scale single-family buildings by decomposing time series data and recombining them into synthetics. The proposed method used public data to capture seasonality and the distribution of residuals that fulfill statistical characteristics. A reference building was used to provide empirical parameter settings and validations for the studied buildings. An illustrative case in a city of Sweden using only annual total demand was presented for deploying the proposed method. The results showed that the proposed method can mimic reality well and represent a high level of similarity to the real data. The average monthly error for the best month reached 15.9% and the best one was below 10% among 11 tested months. Less than 0.6% improper synthetic values were found in the studied region. © The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2023.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Singapore: Springer Nature, 2023. Vol. Part F2770, p. 331-354
Series
Sustainable Development Goals Series, ISSN 2523-3084, E-ISSN 2523-3092 ; SDG: 11
Keywords [en]
Data generation; Hourly electricity demand; Large-scale buildings; Time series decomposition
National Category
Energy Engineering
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:du-49268DOI: 10.1007/978-981-99-1222-3_14Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85194562059ISBN: 978-981-99-1221-6 (print)ISBN: 978-981-99-1222-3 (electronic)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:du-49268DiVA, id: diva2:1892302
Available from: 2024-08-26 Created: 2024-08-26 Last updated: 2024-08-26

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fulltext(23967 kB)36 downloads
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Han, MengjieZhang, Xingxing

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CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • chicago-author-date
  • chicago-note-bibliography
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf