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Analyzing and Modelling Historical Global and Regional Temperature Shifts Using Deep Learning Techniques and Greenhouse Gas Emissions Analysis
Dalarna University, School of Information and Engineering.
2025 (English)Independent thesis Advanced level (degree of Master (Two Years)), 20 credits / 30 HE creditsStudent thesis
Abstract [en]

The global rise in temperatures due to climate change has brought attention to the need for advanced forecasting models to understand historical trends and predict future climate patterns. This study investigates global and regional temperature variations using historical climate data, focusing on the impact of greenhouse gas emissions across major sectors. AnLSTM auto encoder model was employed alongside traditional machine learning models such as Linear Regression, Gradient Boosting, and Random Forest to forecast temperature changes. The LSTM autoencoder demonstrated superior performance in global data analysis, achievingan accuracy of 98.48% and an F1 score of 92.31%. However, regional performance varied, with traditional models outperforming in some cases, particularly in Africa and the Americas. Sectoral analysis revealed agriculture and power industries as the largest contributors to emissions globally, with regional variations in sectoral impacts which lead temperature rise.The findings highlight the importance of incorporating tailored modelling approaches and integrating socio-economic variables for better climate forecasting.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2025.
Keywords [en]
LSTM Autoencoder, Global Warming, Early stopping, Optuna Hyperparamter Optimization, Greenhouse Gas Emissions
National Category
Energy Systems Climate Science Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:du-50137OAI: oai:DiVA.org:du-50137DiVA, id: diva2:1935380
Subject / course
Microdata Analysis
Available from: 2025-02-06 Created: 2025-02-06 Last updated: 2025-10-09

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fulltext(2875 kB)156 downloads
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Energy SystemsClimate ScienceProbability Theory and Statistics

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CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • chicago-author-date
  • chicago-note-bibliography
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf