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Accelerated Autocracy: Venezuela’s Rapid Democratic Collapse and the Temporal Limits of Modern Theory
Dalarna University, School of Culture and Society.
2025 (English)Independent thesis Advanced level (degree of Master (One Year)), 10 credits / 15 HE creditsStudent thesis
Abstract [en]

This paper uses the deviant case of Venezuela’s rapid democratic breakdown between 1999–2005 to test the explanatory strength of modern actor-oriented autocratization theory. Recent literature has focused on the slow, incremental erosion of democratic norms through legal and strategic manipulation by leaders. Venezuela's rapid and comprehensive democratic breakdown contradicts these assumptions. Using a theory-testing, single-case study with process tracing, the paper examines how key mechanisms proposed in the literature apply to the Venezuelan case. The findings reveal that while many core mechanisms are present, they do not follow the gradual or sequential pattern expected. Multiple mechanisms unfolded in parallel, reinforced one another, and progressed with rapid speed. The study highlights understudied dimensions of autocratization, particularly structural factors that are used by leaders to increase the pace and scope of autocratization. It concludes that while the actor-centered framework captures important dynamics, it requires greater temporal flexibility and deeper integration of structural conditions to explain cases like Venezuela. The paper’s contribution is to the refinement of autocratization theory through demonstration of both its strengths and its blind spots when applied to an a typical case.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2025.
Keywords [en]
Autocratization, Democratic Backsliding, Venezuela, Process Tracing, Actor-Oriented Theory
National Category
Political Science
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:du-51037OAI: oai:DiVA.org:du-51037DiVA, id: diva2:1987731
Subject / course
Political Science
Available from: 2025-08-07 Created: 2025-08-07 Last updated: 2025-10-09

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CiteExportLink to record
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Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • chicago-author-date
  • chicago-note-bibliography
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
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  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf