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Machine Learning-Based Post-Hoc Calibration of Low-Cost Air Quality Sensors Using Reference Monitoring Stations
Dalarna University, School of Information and Engineering.
Dalarna University, School of Information and Engineering.
2026 (English)Independent thesis Advanced level (degree of Master (Two Years)), 20 credits / 30 HE creditsStudent thesis
Abstract [en]

Air pollution is a major environmental and public health challenge worldwide. Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) is particularly harmful because it can penetrate deep into the lungs and bloodstream, contributing to respiratory and cardiovascular diseases. Although regulatory-grade reference monitoring stations provide accurate measurements, their high-cost limits spatial coverage. Low-cost sensors (LCS) offer a cost-effective alternative but require calibration to improve measurement reliability.

This thesis presents a machine learning-based post-hoc calibration framework for low-cost PM2.5 sensors using reference monitoring station data. A Linear Tree Regressor was selected because it combines nonlinear decision-tree partitioning with interpretable local linear regression models. The study used the SensEURCity dataset collected in Antwerp, Belgium, comprising approximately 18.7 million minute-level observations from 34 low-cost sensors and 9 reference monitoring stations. PM2.5 concentration, relative humidity, temperature, and atmospheric pressure were used as model inputs.

Three research questions were investigated: (1) whether machine learning improves calibration accuracy compared with the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) correction method, (2) how many reference stations are required for effective calibration, and (3) how spatial distance affects calibration error.

The Linear Tree Regressor achieved MAE = 2.31, RMSE = 3.91, and = 0.83, outperforming the EPA correction method (MAE = 3.55, RMSE = 5.29, = 0.69). The EPA performance was consistent with previous validation studies, while the proposed model further improved calibration accuracy. Results also showed that effective calibration could be achieved using a limited number of reference stations. Furthermore, the proposed model maintained lower prediction error than the EPA method across most practical urban deployment distances. These findings demonstrate the potential of machine learning to support accurate, scalable, and cost-effective urban air quality monitoring.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2026.
Keywords [en]
PM2.5, Low-Cost Sensors, Environmental Monitoring, Sensor Calibration, Air Pollution, Linear Tree Regressor, Machine Learning, EPA Correction Method, Urban Air Quality, Reference Monitoring Stations, ANCOVA
National Category
Computer and Information Sciences
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:du-54224OAI: oai:DiVA.org:du-54224DiVA, id: diva2:2084212
Subject / course
Microdata Analysis
Available from: 2026-07-03 Created: 2026-07-03 Last updated: 2026-07-03

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CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • chicago-author-date
  • chicago-note-bibliography
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf